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Investment Appraisal  - Tutorial 2  

Question 1.

  1. What is the payback period for the following set of cash flows? 
  2. What is the discounted payback period if we use 10 per cent discount rate? 
  3. What is the main disadvantage of the discounted payback period as a method of investment appraisal?
  4. What advantages does the discounted payback have over the ordinary payback?

What is the payback period for the following set of cash flows?



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Answer 1
.
The Sum of the Out Flow and the Cash Flow becomes positive during the Third Year.  

At the beginning of the 3rd year there was a deficite of £600 with an expected Fash Flow of £1400.
Assuming this is linear, then it's  £1400 / 12 = £116.67r Cash flow per month..  The deficite divided by the flow is

£800 / 116.67r = 6.86 months  0.86 x (365/12) = 26 days  

Therefrore Payback is in 3 years 6 months and 26 days.
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.

What is the discounted payback period if we use 10 per cent discount rate?

Answer 2
.
The Sum of the Out Flow and the discounted Cash Flow becomes positive during the Fith Year.  

At the beginning of the 5th year there was a deficite of £191 with an expected Fash Flow of £1000.
Assuming this is linear, then it's  £1000 / 12 = £83.3r Cash flow per month..  The deficite divided by the flow is

£191 / 83.3r = 2.292 months  0.292 x (365/12) = 9 days  

Therefrore Payback is in 5 years 2 months and 10 days.
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.
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What is the discounted payback period if we use 10 per cent discount rate?

What is the main disadvantage of the discounted payback period as a method of investment appraisal?

Answer 3

The discounted payback method does not consider the timings or size of the inflows or for inflows after the payback period. 

What advantages does the discounted payback have over the ordinary payback?

Answer 4

     The discounted payback method does consider the time value of money.


 Question 2

An investment project provides cash inflows of £ 765 per year for eight years. What is the project payback period if the initial cost is £2,400? What if the initial cost is £3,600,  What if it is £6,500?
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What is the project payback period if the initial cost is £2,400?

Answer 1
.
The Sum of the Out Flow and the discounted Cash Flow becomes positive during the Fith Year.

At the beginning of the 4th year there was a deficite of £205 with an expected Fash Flow of £765.
Assuming this is linear, then it's £765 / 12 = £63.75 Cash flow per month.. The deficite divided by the flow is

£205 / 63.75 = 3.226 months 0.226 x (365/12) = 7 days

Therefrore Payback is in  3 years 3 months and 7 days.

What is the project payback period if the initial cost is £2,400?

Answer 2
.
The Sum of the Out Flow and the discounted Cash Flow becomes positive during the Fith Year.

At the beginning of the 4th year there was a deficite of £205 with an expected Fash Flow of £765.
Assuming this is linear, then it's £765 / 12 = £63.75 Cash flow per month.. The deficite divided by the flow is

£205 / 63.75 = 3.226 months 0.226 x (365/12) = 7 days

Therefrore Payback is in  3 years 3 months and 7 days.

What if the initial cost is £3,600?

At the beginning of the 5th year there was a deficite of £540
£540 / 63.75 = 8.472 months 0.472 x (365/12) = 14 days

Therefrore Payback is in  4 years 3 months and 7 days

What if it is £6,500?

Answer 3
.
The Sum of the Out Flow and the discounted Cash Flow throuout tremains Negative throughout the period if the cash flows continue after and EXTENDED period at  £63.75  per month.. Then:-

£390 / 63.75 = 5.96 months 0.96 x (365/12) = 29 days

Therefrore Payback is in  8 years 5 months and 29 days.

But this is not a valid calculation as it ignorant of the factors that imposed the 8 year period set down.

Question 3

.       

The finance manager of ABC plc is evaluating two mutually exclusive projects with the following cash flows.

ABS’s cost of capital is 10% and both investment projects have zero scrap value. The company’s current return on capital employed is 12% (average investment basis) and the company uses straight line depreciation over the life of projects.
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a. Advise the company which project should be undertaken in the following circumstances if:

i. The net present value method (NPV) of investment appraisal is used:

ii. The internal rate of return method of investment is used;

iii. The return on capital employed method of investment appraisal is used.

b. Discuss the problems that arise for the net present value method of investment appraisal when capital is limited and explain how such problems may be resolved in practice.
Advise the company which project should be undertaken in the following circumstances if the net present value method (NPV) of investment appraisal is used:

Answer  a,i

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Answer a,ii


Both Projects have a positive NPV
when considering the companies cost of Capital but neither have a positive NPV when considering the companies average return on capital employed.  I would advise the company that if they where to choose either project, then to opt for project A for 5 reasons.

  1. It has the higher NPV.
  2. The payback on investment occurs after 3.5 yrs (whereas Project B takes closer to 5 years).
  3. The losses on Project B (when considering the Companies ROCE) is 7 times higher than Project A.
  4. Project A would still have a positive NPV after 4 years should the project finish earlier.
  5. Project B also relies heavily on cash flow in year 4 should the Projects run into trouble after 3 years then Project B would cause a loss of almost 45% (£77,000) of the investment. As opposed to less than 8% (£10,000) for Project A.

ii. The internal rate of return method of investment is used;

Answer a,ii

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Again both project show a return greater than the cost of Capital; However, the IRR does not show the problems Identified in items 2, 4 and 5 in answer (i)

iii. The return on capital employed method of investment appraisal is used.

Answer a iii

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Again Project A shows a 2% advantage over Project B so Project A would be the better choice; however, neither show any inherent dangers and both appear superb investments. 

b. Discuss the problems that arise for the net present value method of investment appraisal when capital is limited and explain how such problems may be resolved in practice.

 Answer b

NPV assumes that future cash flows are known and that the companies cost of capital is fixed, this is unlikely to be true as both are forecasted; however when capital is limited then a profitability index is needed to evaluate the selection of projects and the projects with the higher Profitability Index should be taken. 

                                Profitability Index = NPV of cashflows/Initial Capital invested 

This does in no way guarantee success but reduces the possible risks in undertaking a venture. 

Question 4.     Explain what is meant by the term “capital rationing” and differentiate between hard and soft rationing

 Answer 4

Capital rationing is the process of limiting the capital expenditure.  This could be due to “Hard Rationing” when an outside body limits the amount of capital it is prepared to loan (Gearing) or “Soft Rationing” when the company itself imposes the limits on expenditure. (Budgeting).  All companies are faced with such limitations and managers have to therefore decide which investment opportunities to accept and which, although profitable, they have to reject.

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